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Mumbai is growing. Not in population, only 25% in the next 20 years, but it is growing. Due to the sheer size of Metropolitan Mumbai (23 million inhabitants) any absolute figure is substantial. Has to be dealt correctly. Mumbai explosion is in other metropolitan key elements. Car ownership is likely to grow from 2 million to 20 million units. Air traffic will grow from actual 35 million passengers per year to 150 million. Housing requirements from actual 5 million, in 4 member families, to 10 million in 2.4 member families; that is 200.000 new dwellings every year for 800.000 people.
Mumbai has been doing relatively well. Navi Mumbai in 50 years, since 1966, has replicated the linear peninsula structure of urban Mumbai across the bay: 10 new townships of 100.000 inhabitants, a total of 1 million. Now they need to do that almost every year; to be more precise 4 New Towns of 50.000 dwellings every year.
A Metropolitan/Regional is on the way. We cannot comment as it has not been shared with the population and the document is not public. We are willing to believe that these issues have been addressed correctly.
The operative body to implement territorial development is CIDCO, the one that developed Navi Mumbai these last 50 years. The New Challenge is different. Procedural mechanisms will be different, as landowners will have management initiatives. The development approach will account for existing townships and will not have the New Town approach. The risk is a metastatic urban sprawl with commercial ribbon development strips in the American style: unsustainable and inefficient.
Mumbai, India, has one of the richest urban cultures in the world. The elements are there, embodied in the actual townships. It is just necessary to read them and to produce a multi-scalar system that will articulate the metropolitan scale and the local one in fractal dialogue. This is the first attempt to approach the structural elements of that dialogue. Much work still to be done. This is just work in progress. |