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India is expecting 360 million people to move from rural to urban in the next 20 years. That is 50.000 every day and thus the need to accommodate and build 12.000 homes every single day for the next 20 years. Is India doing so? What we are seeing is probably 12.000 new slums every day.
If anyone doubts about those figures look individually to the growth rates of Indian Metropolises: They range from 11% annual to 7%, 5% and the lowest Mumbai 3 %.
11% growth means doubling every 7 years. Pune, such is the case, has to build a new Pune every 7 years. A task the Government is obviously not able to handle. At the lower scale Mumbai, with its 3 % growth rate, requires to be expanded again and again every 23 years; a task beyond the capacity scope of the Government.
And this is a problem that affects more than 50 metropolises in India beyond a million inhabitants: 164 million people in total that will become 400 million in 20 years. A solution is required if social inequity and social unrest is not an acceptable outcome. And the results of it will affect India for many decades (even centuries) to come, as the “vertical” slums of the Industrial Revolution still affect European cities 200 years later.
We want to provide solutions to it. Have a look to “The Art of Shaping the Metropolis” (McGraw Hill, 2013) and you will see the answer. |